FORECASTEURO.COM · THE ECMWF MODEL · WORLDWIDE HOMEEUROPEECMWFAIFSENSEMBLEWEATHERNEXTPOLARLEGACYCOLOURSSTATUSABOUTFORECAST EAGLE

FORECAST EURO

The European Centre's forecast for every country in Europe — on Europe's own map, hour by hour.

ECMWF HRES 0.1°

Europe, this hour

ETRS89-LAEA · EPSG:3035
Drawing Europe…

ECMWF's high-resolution forecast for this hour, stepped to six days, over relief and the seas' real depths. Point at a country to name it in its own language; click it to spotlight its forecast. The map is drawn in ETRS89-LAEA (EPSG:3035) — the Lambert equal-area projection the European Union draws itself in, centred on 52°N 10°E — so every country keeps its true area: Norway against Spain, Iceland against Ireland, at one scale, where Web Mercator draws the North Cape twice the size of Gibraltar's latitude.

Every country

THE CAPITAL, NOW

Across Europe right now

HRES · TO THE URALS

The capitals, fifteen days

ENSEMBLE · 50 MEMBERS

A single run says what the weather will be; the ensemble says how far to believe it. Each day is the fifty members' mean high, with the range the middle forty of them span under it — tight in green, wide in red — and the mean low. Watch the ranges open past day five: that widening is the forecast being honest.

The outlook loads as you reach it.

The models

FOUR MODELS · EVERY ONE WORLDWIDE
LIVEEXIT 1

ECMWF Explorer

The model widely regarded as the world's most accurate, drawn worldwide at 0.1° — roughly 11 km — rather than the 0.25° open-data grid most sites use. Hourly to 90 hours, three-hourly to six days, then six-hourly to fifteen, in authentic ecCharts colours.

LIVEEXIT 2

Polar Explorer

The Arctic and Antarctic in polar stereographic projection — the two places a Mercator map physically cannot draw, because the projection is infinite at 85°. True at 70°, guaranteed to 45° on every meridian, and drawn for all four models.

LIVEEXIT 3

AIFS Explorer

ECMWF's machine-learning forecast, run alongside the physical model, at 0.25° out to fifteen days. The interesting question is not whether it is good — it is where it and HRES disagree, so the two are drawn in the same colours in the same instrument.

LIVEEXIT 4

Legacy Chart Viewer

All four models with the camera bolted down — a fixed set of framings, the whole run decoded up front, and loops that step instantly because nothing has to be fetched. Every control is a button, the map cannot be dragged out of frame, and one switch in the rail moves between models without losing your place.

LIVEEXIT 5

Ensemble

Fifty-one members of the same forecast. A single deterministic run tells you what might happen; the ensemble tells you how much to trust it, which is usually the more useful number. The mean and the spread, side by side, on all nine fields ECMWF publishes them for.

EXPERIMENTALEXIT 6

WeatherNext 2

Google DeepMind's machine-learning ensemble — the first model here that is not ECMWF's. Every other comparison on this site is the Euro model against itself; this one shares no centre, no reanalysis and no assumptions, so where it and ECMWF disagree the disagreement means something different. An experimental subset feed, not an operational product.

Exits by continent

ONE RASTER · EVERY VIEW IS A VIEWPORT

Each of these opens the Explorer on that part of the world, on the globe rather than flat — across the North America frame Mercator distorts area nearly fourteenfold end to end, which is the difference between Greenland reading as a continent and reading as an island. Nothing is re-rendered to get there: one global raster serves every one of them.

Why this site exists

The full-resolution model

Most freely available ECMWF imagery comes from the 0.25° open-data feed. This site draws the 0.1° dissemination — about seven times as many grid points — so an Alpine valley, a Caribbean hurricane eyewall or a Tasman squall line is the size the model actually made it.

Honest rendering

Colour scales are pinned to absolute values, never re-fit per frame, and the ecCharts tables are the real ECMWF Magics colours on the published level breaks — discrete bands, not a smoothed rainbow. Point at the map and it names the band, because that is the only claim the chart makes.

Built for speed

No tracking, no cookie banner, no account. Pages are static files, the basemap is self-hosted, and nothing is fetched from a third party.

Part of a network

THE FORECAST NETWORK

Forecast Euro is the network's instrument pointed at the one centre whose forecasts the others are all measured against — and because that model is global, so is this site. Ten European countries also have a site of their own, drawn on each country's own map from its national weather service's models; the map above sends you to them from each country's card.